Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ab2911db78cb5cd22118413f4c72e0a9b2a9c66688ec6ec60d26171e2dc0307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Over | 47c | 1,925$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.94 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 52c | 1,034$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.44 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 53c | 554.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.84 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 510.8$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.18 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…aaaebacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 46c | 336.6$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 52c | 312.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Under | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 54c | 242.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…9323backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 53c | 179$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 46c | 144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Under | 58c | 107.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Under | 59c | 107.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 55.1%102 W · 83 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 41c | 102.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0531…aa5abacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…f159backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…72f5backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 42c | 31.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.