Fifa International · resolved market
Norway to score first vs. Brazil?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a66eb161ef3b9af38f63494e1fd96cc1f64128e6e8cc93437a32ee7e3454eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 35c | 13,776$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,937.28 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 12,847$4,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,350.1 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 12,589$8,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,219.85 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 64c | 8,952$5,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,752.55 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e45…5b61backed Yes | 35c | 7,143$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,642.86 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 65c | 6,500$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.92 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 6,486$4,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.81 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 5,645$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,656.55 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 5,260$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.97 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 65c | 4,362$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.16 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.88 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…08f7backed Yes | 36c | 2,740$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.81 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 35c | 2,650$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.5 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 2,384$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2da…2ba1backed Yes | 36c | 2,235$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 65c | 2,230$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.91 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,935$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.75 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 65c | 1,932$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.37 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,763$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.81 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0c35backed Yes | 33c | 1,721$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.91 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 65c | 1,369$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.08 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 65c | 1,105$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.26 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Yes | 32c | 1,025$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 65c | 847.51$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 37c | 796.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.96 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 38c | 715.71$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.93 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 668.26$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.51 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 64c | 656$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 65c | 649.99$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.49 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…00abbacked Yes | 37c | 643.56$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.84 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 33c | 637.03$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.26 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 21c | 593.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 35c | 570.56$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.17 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…e4b4backed No | 66c | 404.06$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 378.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 39c | 347.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…9dfcbacked Yes | 39c | 338.58$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 60c | 338.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 65c | 300$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…6540backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…eb8dbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…cd44backed No | 14c | 271.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…79e4backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 56c | 243.55$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 5c | 242.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…cf4ebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 66c | 198.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed No | 64c | 197.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 31c | 189.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519e…71bbbacked Yes | 35c | 187.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Yes | 46c | 172.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d9e9backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0451…27e6backed Yes | 40c | 169.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 168.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Yes | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…c0adbacked Yes | 32c | 156.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…36bbbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…c209backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…6f25backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked No | 11c | 141.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 111 | 14.4%16 W · 95 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…db1dbacked Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 134.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 35c | 131.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…79b2backed Yes | 35c | 125.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…e98bbacked Yes | 35c | 118.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 65c | 113.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 112.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd6…52b6backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8a2ebacked Yes | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Yes | 33c | 102.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…a5bbbacked Yes | 31c | 102.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 64c | 101.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Yes | 36c | 101.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…5916backed Yes | 15c | 99.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 64c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Yes | 42c | 88.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…3f1fbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…c7dcbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 64c | 82.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 64c | 82.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…ef55backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 79.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 64c | 79.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway to score first vs. Brazil?this page
- Brazil to score first vs. Norway?No won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.