South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08869e21ab666fb805dbe8fa7a0f3e39c3caa947230dffae0fc24d923761f6b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 4,418$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 4,109$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.74 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 3,974$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.06 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 14c | 762$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 683.8$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 656.79$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed Yes | 17c | 490.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 424.01$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 29c | 252.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 29c | 252.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 225.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 182.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 32c | 174.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 157.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 36c | 134.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 32c | 129.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 32c | 99.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 71c | 99.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…6ce4backed Yes | 33c | 94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 75.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 26c | 70.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 36c | 68.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 67.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 30c | 59.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 32c | 45.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 45.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 31c | 42.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 32c | 36.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 71c | 34.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…653fbacked No | 69c | 23.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…d93bbacked No | 69c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?Yes won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.