Tennis · resolved market
Plovdiv 2: Petr Brunclik vs Lorenzo Carboni
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x932cbd6d251b0f4e2f9c1d28b15a3c700ee12bff5adac0e1a5b472cf4119609e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petr Brunclikof Petr Brunclik, Lorenzo Carboni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Carboni | 28c | 2,126$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.14 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…c8ecbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 27c | 1,983$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Petr Brunclik | 66c | 1,786$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Lorenzo Carboni | 2c | 1,590$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lorenzo Carboni | 33c | 735.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Carboni | 34c | 709$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.06 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Petr Brunclik | 63c | 441.6$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Carboni | 30c | 422.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Petr Brunclik | 69c | 399.05$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Petr Brunclik | 78c | 256$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Petr Brunclik | 74c | 235.56$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Lorenzo Carboni | 33c | 234.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Petr Brunclik | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Lorenzo Carboni | 38c | 108.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lorenzo Carboni | 31c | 103.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Lorenzo Carboni | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Petr Brunclik | 69c | 99.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Petr Brunclik | 66c | 97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Petr Brunclik | 78c | 95.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Lorenzo Carboni | 34c | 93.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Petr Brunclik | 67c | 91.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Lorenzo Carboni | 32c | 89.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Petr Brunclik | 67c | 89.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lorenzo Carboni | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Lorenzo Carboni | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Lorenzo Carboni | 35c | 81.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Petr Brunclik | 67c | 74.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Petr Brunclik | 67c | 73.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Petr Brunclik | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Petr Brunclik | 77c | 71.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Petr Brunclik | 65c | 69.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Petr Brunclik | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Lorenzo Carboni | 33c | 67.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lorenzo Carboni | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Petr Brunclik | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Lorenzo Carboni | 35c | 55.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Petr Brunclik | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lorenzo Carboni | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Petr Brunclik | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Petr Brunclik | 73c | 40.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lorenzo Carboni | 33c | 37.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Petr Brunclik | 67c | 35.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Petr Brunclik | 67c | 33.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Petr Brunclik | 67c | 31.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Petr Brunclik | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Petr Brunclik | 68c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.