Champions League · resolved market
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aa2acd7dc504756ab02f1bc9fe46a26316477ffede83ba898976cc012035e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 31c | 11,941$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.8 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 4,109$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.74 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 15c | 3,485$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.53 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 1,563$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.53 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 69c | 1,302$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.69 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 1,012$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.72 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.40per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 913.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 840.32$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 17c | 803.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 72c | 777.9$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.81 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 69c | 738$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.78 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 30c | 597.9$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 77c | 446.38$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 390.03$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 69c | 390$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 30c | 381.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 375.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 366$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 29c | 342.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 321.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 25c | 312.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 79c | 287.9$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 21c | 278.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 69c | 256$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 70c | 249.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 221.07$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 205$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 69c | 199$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 199$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…2922backed Yes | 18c | 183.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes | 30c | 100.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 69c | 95.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 72c | 94.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 17c | 89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 30c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 26c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 70c | 77.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 55.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 25c | 46.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 45.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 25c | 45.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 44.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 71c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 71c | 24.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…492abacked No | 79c | 16.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?this page
- Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.