Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x247fdc2291e338e85e377e524d8089f1ccdc45ac065259d5279c74249131f812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 3,020$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.41 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 37c | 2,714$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.7 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Valencia | 59c | 2,439$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Valencia | 47c | 1,586$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.01 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valencia | 73c | 1,473$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.6 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Valencia | 74c | 1,297$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 1,194$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.29 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 48c | 1,047$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 46c | 928.62$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.29 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valencia | 73c | 805.96$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.91 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.65 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Valencia | 73c | 523.54$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.21 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Valencia | 59c | 504.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Valencia | 57c | 476.82$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Valencia | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 28c | 407.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Valencia | 71c | 407$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Valencia | 59c | 360.29$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Valencia | 62c | 323.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 39c | 299.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Valencia | 53c | 246.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Valencia | 58c | 244.66$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 37c | 236.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 26c | 234.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Valencia | 74c | 230.46$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Valencia | 76c | 215$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Valencia | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Valencia | 54c | 193.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 148.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 26c | 146.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Valencia | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 32c | 104.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Valencia | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Valencia | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Valencia | 59c | 59.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 35c | 51.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…2995backed Valencia | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Valencia | 55c | 27.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Valencia | 69c | 25.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Valencia | 57c | 22.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Valencia | 61c | 22.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Valencia | 74c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.