Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Fenerbahce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf86981f908d16f057ceb7641a5f4c7592b5e0e03aafecaaa07ce7b7ebefe6688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Panathinaikos, Fenerbahce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Panathinaikos | 66c | 4,500$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Panathinaikos | 13c | 3,319$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fenerbahce | 64c | 2,729$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Panathinaikos | 44c | 2,421$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.67 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fenerbahce | 53c | 2,420$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.75 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fenerbahce | 37c | 2,093$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.24 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Fenerbahce | 35c | 1,400$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.81 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Fenerbahce | 42c | 1,380$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.39 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Panathinaikos | 38c | 736.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Panathinaikos | 65c | 613.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Panathinaikos | 13c | 578.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Panathinaikos | 58c | 526$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…2983backed Panathinaikos | 60c | 498.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fenerbahce | 79c | 419.19$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…cf91backed Panathinaikos | 35c | 371$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Panathinaikos | 60c | 321.92$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fenerbahce | 49c | 293.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.63 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Panathinaikos | 14c | 289.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Panathinaikos | 58c | 287$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Panathinaikos | 20c | 264$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 259.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Panathinaikos | 19c | 257$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Panathinaikos | 20c | 218.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Panathinaikos | 57c | 209$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panathinaikos | 45c | 198.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Fenerbahce | 34c | 185.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.29 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Panathinaikos | 33c | 136.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fenerbahce | 35c | 128.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Fenerbahce | 40c | 126.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fenerbahce | 39c | 108.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Panathinaikos | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Fenerbahce | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed Panathinaikos | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fenerbahce | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…5d4bbacked Fenerbahce | 49c | 90.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Fenerbahce | 40c | 86.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Panathinaikos | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Panathinaikos | 53c | 78.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Fenerbahce | 41c | 73.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Fenerbahce | 41c | 71.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…c191backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 71.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…beadbacked Fenerbahce | 27c | 70.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Panathinaikos | 59c | 63.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 60.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Panathinaikos | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Fenerbahce | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fenerbahce | 36c | 56.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Panathinaikos | 31c | 51.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Fenerbahce | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 46.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Panathinaikos | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fenerbahce | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Fenerbahce | 56c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…7546backed Fenerbahce | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Panathinaikos | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…15f2backed Fenerbahce | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Panathinaikos | 64c | 29.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…5c55backed Fenerbahce | 42c | 27.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Fenerbahce | 41c | 24.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panathinaikos | 58c | 23.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed Panathinaikos | 56c | 21.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Panathinaikos | 53c | 21.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Panathinaikos | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Panathinaikos | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Panathinaikos | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…905fbacked Fenerbahce | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.