Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065a603d7939279c9a41c677506d485fe8a0aa53a4372425d7e85ea2ff80c984
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,947$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.44 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 38c | 864.59$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.54 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 62c | 596.55$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 53c | 430.27$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 319.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 61c | 185$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…b988backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 59c | 168.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 65c | 151.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 39c | 142.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 88.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 45c | 66.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 60c | 65.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 61c | 49.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 43c | 46.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 60c | 38.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 39c | 35.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 44c | 30.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Yes | 62c | 30.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…3462backed Yes | 47c | 25.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 56c | 21.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 61c | 19.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.