Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b961586736400889908bf047da422fe36663175ae4c2893d74d1ff164a8333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,758$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.41 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 959.58$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.35 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Over | 56c | 500.14$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over | 39c | 353.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 41c | 339.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 76c | 329.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 279.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 45c | 220.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 13c | 173.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 47c | 164.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 160.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 43c | 142.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 40c | 123.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 113.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 64c | 112$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 48c | 97.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 39c | 84.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 71.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 71c | 70.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 56c | 69.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 59.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 55c | 53.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Under | 62c | 53.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…1cd6backed Under | 61c | 35.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 35.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…db1dbacked Under | 61c | 32.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 47c | 31.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 52c | 28.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…5cfabacked Under | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Under | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 56c | 20.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 62c | 20.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…a1d7backed Under | 63c | 17.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.