Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212b0cf33cdde6c03e3ab4fdb1ff312c98b5fa3fcfe036c01c645a455d14fe38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 77c | 765.43$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 644.42$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 612.06$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 571.62$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.62 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 543.33$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 77c | 534.52$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…41afbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 24c | 405$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 25c | 392.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 23c | 319.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…3e14backed Yes | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 35c | 263.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 243.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…9905backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 176.69$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 18c | 164.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 125.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 75c | 109.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 26c | 106.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 99.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 97.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 29c | 86.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 70c | 77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 73.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 27c | 73.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 68.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 66.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 59.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 25c | 55.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 31c | 47.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 26c | 44.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 76c | 39.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 31c | 32.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…f568backed No | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaee…9c5fbacked No | 74c | 29.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 24.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.