TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No80c13,742$10,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.0156439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c6,804$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.733,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4505337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes29c2,926$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.319944.4%44 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c2,692$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.592,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes28c2,650$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.1822455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes28c2,627$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.1840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c2,604$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.161,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No73c1,674$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.983565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,552$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.561,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No63c1,442$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.533476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No71c1,436$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.9541351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes15c1,216$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.63283.6%1 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-67.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No75c1,203$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.752356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c1,077$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.6763757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c917.13$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes15c886.86$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.161,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22419255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c765.8$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0824145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No74c754.75$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.839338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No73c733.93$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.166243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d53…5ccfbacked Yes20c707.2$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c630.73$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c630.55$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5975051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes26c584.62$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1358246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes24c473.31$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4710230.4%31 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No73c466.22$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8817759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes27c444$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.882360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb804…cd66backed Yes28c422.58$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11860%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c418.82$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6121950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c383.24$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6469350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes25c380.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1917159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes14c311.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4828138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No69c307.5$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3323762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c306.02$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.424,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes27c271$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.528445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e20…e4b8backed Yes26c262.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed No60c245$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes41c242.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.343850%19 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a1…c7e4backed Yes26c240.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6e…b9e3backed Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No74c199.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No73c195.71$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.848160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No73c183.82$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.745646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c173$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8158548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes29c172$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.881118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…f627backed Yes29c172$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.88911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes29c172$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.881216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No71c160.34$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.517447.1%82 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No72c155$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.48672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes17c145.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes10c139.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9135759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c131$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8660732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No77c129.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4533244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No71c119.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7911449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c117.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0298833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8253…be38backed No75c112.41$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes12c107.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4112823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.482466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes24c99.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9619865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c97.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa51…264dbacked No75c95.62$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes36c91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.282844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes29c90.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.183135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No78c89.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.744938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x24a8…45b3backed No75c88.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes29c86.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8728847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No74c82.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4314574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No64c80.85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.998170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked No72c77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.552065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204141.5%17 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…4ba8backed No75c75.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b24…e2a9backed No75c71.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No72c71.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7881…5c15backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.446163.9%39 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208142%34 W · 47 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes32c62.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ba…a72abacked No75c59.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155942.4%25 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.545250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe681…19f8backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x534a…023abacked Yes41c49.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No60c48.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4310556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.631,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes25c45.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.443129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No74c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.723455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed Yes27c43.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.744571.1%32 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes27c39.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.679167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No72c38.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8410060%60 W · 40 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.