Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d50deb19ca3559206f9fd3ea4d1c450b5664a1e73a9ea663e9668d7a1553d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 7,844$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 4,228$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 3,459$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.02 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 30c | 3,084$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 2,741$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.65 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 2,258$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.25 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…db2cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,442$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…9a68backed No | 71c | 1,022$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Yes | 31c | 633.07$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 21c | 632.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 591.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 459.89$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 80c | 420.12$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 373.95$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked No | 72c | 368.66$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 332.71$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Yes | 35c | 285.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 60c | 280.89$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 14c | 262.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 255.6$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 196.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 193.02$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 63c | 152.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 27c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed No | 76c | 120.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 119.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes | 17c | 115.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…679cbacked Yes | 27c | 115$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…6b45backed Yes | 29c | 114.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 24c | 112$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 21c | 103.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…49a4backed Yes | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Yes | 31c | 83.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…3db7backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 65c | 77.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 24c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 29c | 71.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…3c42backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…be08backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 29c | 54.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes | 21c | 49.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 43.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 40.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b649backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 75c | 37.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 77c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 37c | 29.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 73c | 24.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 21.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 79c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 77c | 16.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 72c | 14.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 79c | 13.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 12.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.