Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ab634167b98af734f81ffc81b27448d62786d1c81c2d6fa30e55f876fac8f25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 40c | 9,412$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 60c | 8,661$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.35 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 50c | 2,047$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.56 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 1,625$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.82 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 767.35$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked No | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 73c | 341.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 301$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 294.23$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…6809backed Yes | 16c | 247.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…b837backed Yes | 18c | 223.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 49c | 192.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 75c | 179.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 10c | 161.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 10c | 147.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 66c | 128.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 9c | 111.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 102.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 98.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 61c | 97.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 42c | 91.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 84.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 46c | 79.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 75.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 44c | 68.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad83…d146backed Yes | 25c | 66.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 63.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 45c | 59.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101d…c861backed Yes | 34c | 59.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 41c | 53.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 50.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 45c | 44.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…b324backed No | 76c | 39.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 58c | 38.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 37.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 79c | 37.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 34.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 73c | 33.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 65c | 28.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 41c | 27.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e2…20debacked No | 76c | 27.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.