Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ebc6898302f6ac76eaf606ebc828cbcc08cdea38ebeddff541b242eeb506d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 32c | 4,662$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 2,700$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.15 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 1,114$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.71 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 652.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 595.18$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 27c | 374.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 282.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 280$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 27c | 273.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 265.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 66c | 241$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 238.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 37c | 214.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 172.37$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 172.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 70c | 169.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 126$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 75c | 120.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 66c | 106.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 97.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 24c | 88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 86.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 74c | 80.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 23c | 77.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…ed62backed Yes | 28c | 54.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked No | 73c | 49.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 74c | 47.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 43.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 28c | 40.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 25.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.