Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8896ac1ed8b3785a6218d72683f7b51626558c90c4f659275c87ea9d68f335d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 70c | 4,078$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.48 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 3,275$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.51 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 2,741$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.23 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 2,065$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.81 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afe…af69backed Yes | 28c | 1,073$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,053$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.68 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 809.57$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.31 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 753.14$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.62 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 55c | 509.13$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.75 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac3…4dfdbacked Yes | 25c | 400.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 29c | 299$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 38c | 201.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 37c | 177.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 69c | 176$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 53c | 174.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 31c | 151.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 63c | 135.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Yes | 38c | 130.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 122$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed No | 48c | 99.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 67c | 82.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 19c | 74.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 67.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 68c | 67.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 66.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 67c | 61.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 60.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 32c | 60.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Yes | 30c | 60.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 75c | 59.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…9100backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 55.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…d6ccbacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 49.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 77c | 46.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 46.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 71c | 40.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 50c | 36.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 63c | 30.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 28.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…255dbacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed No | 60c | 16.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 70c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.