Tennis · resolved market
Morelia: Oliver Crawford vs Chris Rodesch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a331bb7368183f592b675730e6edc43949e2927b8786c29676a55320710592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chris Rodeschof Oliver Crawford, Chris Rodesch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,871 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Oliver Crawford | 4c | 4,942$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Oliver Crawford | 2c | 1,051$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oliver Crawford | 10c | 1,019$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Oliver Crawford | 11c | 480$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oliver Crawford | 34c | 391.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Oliver Crawford | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Oliver Crawford | 31c | 290.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Oliver Crawford | 37c | 263.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chris Rodesch | 67c | 251.2$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Chris Rodesch | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Chris Rodesch | 73c | 222.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…0b31backed Oliver Crawford | 21c | 203.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Oliver Crawford | 37c | 199.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Chris Rodesch | 67c | 162.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Oliver Crawford | 35c | 160.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed Oliver Crawford | 12c | 140.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Chris Rodesch | 66c | 132.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Oliver Crawford | 28c | 121.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Oliver Crawford | 32c | 116.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Chris Rodesch | 63c | 111.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Chris Rodesch | 69c | 100.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Oliver Crawford | 33c | 100.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…b9a3backed Chris Rodesch | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chris Rodesch | 68c | 93.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Chris Rodesch | 69c | 85.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Chris Rodesch | 68c | 79.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Chris Rodesch | 65c | 72.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oliver Crawford | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Chris Rodesch | 66c | 57.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chris Rodesch | 68c | 46.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Chris Rodesch | 63c | 45.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Oliver Crawford | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Chris Rodesch | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Chris Rodesch | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Oliver Crawford | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…5c93backed Oliver Crawford | 35c | 30.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Chris Rodesch | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Chris Rodesch | 72c | 23.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Chris Rodesch | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Chris Rodesch | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.