Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd7427725393337ded3e5fcab69edeff47b5c6ab9f673771350b40420f4a73f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Corentin Moutet, Jannik Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,096 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Corentin Moutet | 1c | 10,223$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Corentin Moutet | 1c | 8,555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 7,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Corentin Moutet | 4c | 6,485$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Corentin Moutet | 4c | 5,265$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 5,050$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 4,939$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…4015backed Corentin Moutet | 1c | 3,703$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 3,352$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 3,318$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Corentin Moutet | 1c | 2,712$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed Corentin Moutet | 1c | 2,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…20debacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 2,250$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 2,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 1,975$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 1,810$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Corentin Moutet | 1c | 1,561$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…cf06backed Corentin Moutet | 4c | 1,371$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…5d0cbacked Corentin Moutet | 4c | 1,358$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 1,306$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 1,162$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 1,137$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 1,100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Corentin Moutet | 2c | 883.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Corentin Moutet | 2c | 858.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Corentin Moutet | 4c | 833.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…00bebacked Corentin Moutet | 4c | 832.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…5390backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 757.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 750.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 716.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 665.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 626.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 625.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 519.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 493.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Corentin Moutet | 2c | 460.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 448.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ae…2f79backed Corentin Moutet | 3c | 379.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 371.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked Corentin Moutet | 3c | 298$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Corentin Moutet | 4c | 244.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Corentin Moutet vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Moutet vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Moutet vs SinnerSinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.