TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,747 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7286…d5d0backed Under51c5,846$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under60c3,661$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.9750646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c2,322$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.6999548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c1,739$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.174942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under52c1,537$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.341442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over50c1,491$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.52958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under52c1,355$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.5614452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over48c1,300$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under53c1,031$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.3515553.5%83 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c854.93$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.8138645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over49c623.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.241369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c577.43$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.911,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Under52c382.72$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985743.9%25 W · 32 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over49c367$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.171855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c262.57$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1692248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c246.87$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6950952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under51c223.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11414947.7%71 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under51c222$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2232743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c221.08$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9683748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over50c198.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.461450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under20c193.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.721978.9%15 W · 4 L+8.0wins+0.42per pick37cpaid+163.8%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Under59c168.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over50c161$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaef9…9b3dbacked Over49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Over49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over50c137.7$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under53c136.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.32250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over49c135$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under21c135$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3528140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c131.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.191,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Over49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over49c124$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc278…a03ebacked Over49c122.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d8…b629backed Over49c111$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed Over49c101.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428860.2%53 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Over48c96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Over49c89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.391070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c88.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4634918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under45c82.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4738744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over50c81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under48c78.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6519646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7527049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c74.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7889349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under48c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0815654.5%85 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36b…f273backed Over49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x658b…ad0fbacked Under53c56.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Under69c56.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.875547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca50…7691backed Over50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1864…6914backed Over49c50.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07d1…439ebacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over50c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over45c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8518441.8%77 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under52c46.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1618844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under51c45.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0508…6035backed Under55c44.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under58c42.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1634753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over58c41.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2410935.8%39 W · 70 L-13.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209955.6%55 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under53c36.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2361042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under51c35.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…9278backed Over50c34.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Over50c34.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.323644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ae…5310backed Under52c29.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159851%50 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under80c28.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…8967backed Over50c27.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under55c25.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.364070%28 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Under52c25.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over47c25.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2761547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Under48c24.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.962650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Under66c23.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.441650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under52c22.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.925952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over58c22.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c22.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6844…d538backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked Under53c19.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.191546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under67c15.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2319245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.