WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91868d668a6172a33866855f5b610b71098c1a65d56078a6b78fb6ce8cac1f52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 2,322$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.36 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 55c | 2,322$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.36 | 515 | 47.2%243 W · 272 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 1,140$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.33 | 774 | 42.5%329 W · 445 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 69c | 696.46$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 50c | 511.13$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 457 | 15.8%72 W · 385 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 50c | 380.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 378.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…126fbacked Over | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 52c | 147.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 49c | 116.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 613 | 42.4%260 W · 353 L | -31.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a24abacked Over | 49c | 101.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 58c | 101.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 51c | 97.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 44c | 67.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 43c | 48.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…6035backed Under | 57c | 31.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 23.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 718 | 45.3%325 W · 393 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 22.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 67c | 20.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 70c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles SparksMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 173.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.