WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68e8c821df631b80cf5d4b76426d1826f19ff155d26675b8e25f81bb20002208
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 3,586$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.67 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 2,912$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.6 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 1,134$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.07 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 613.84$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…6035backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 436.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 417.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 399.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 141$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Sparks | 27c | 131.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 78c | 128.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 34.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 33c | 31.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles SparksMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 173.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.