WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2134d222a8d5ee1ffe205ec98a423f049f775ede583bc821fafb9186e339057f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 56c | 4,076$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.95 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 2,142$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.24 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 2,140$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.27 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 1,687$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.68 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 1,466$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.39 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 1,396$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.73 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Under | 58c | 1,392$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.29 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 51c | 1,147$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.09 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 951.89$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.55 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 44c | 889.52$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 49c | 827.24$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 746.18$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.25 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 403.91$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.38 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 64c | 394.45$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 64c | 334$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.63 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 288.62$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 48c | 278.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 45c | 266.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 65c | 262.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 55c | 194.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 67c | 194.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 57c | 176.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 159.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 64c | 157.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 149.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 58c | 141.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 73c | 137.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 51c | 128.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 57c | 108.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 46c | 99.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 97.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 49c | 85.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 57c | 82.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 69.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…6035backed Under | 55c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Over | 44c | 65.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked Over | 39c | 65.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Under | 51c | 49.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 57c | 48.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…9c2fbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Under | 63c | 44.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 69c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 52c | 43.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 57c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 55c | 40.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 40c | 40.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 61c | 38.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Under | 53c | 27.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 26.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 46c | 23.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 51c | 19.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 55c | 19.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles SparksMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 173.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.