MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9186ccd020f9545edac812c67baf1bc0126f1e04d2fe91d32bf6e1efa3cf35

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $212,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $213,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,647 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under	54c	136,364$73,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,191.3	501	53.5%268 W · 233 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	47c	68,229$31,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,880.03	1,291	51%658 W · 633 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	46c	27,167$12,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,496.59	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	50c	19,323$9,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,687.85	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	46c	8,454$3,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,888.79	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over	46c	8,405$3,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,866.3	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	51c	8,032$4,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,110.05	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	52c	6,127$3,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,936.69	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under	53c	3,774$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,773.58	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	47c	3,313$1,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,551.78	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	54c	2,520$1,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360.98	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	53c	2,340$1,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.65	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	53c	1,718$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.44	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	52c	1,620$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.84	644	52.2%336 W · 308 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	452	52.4%237 W · 215 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	1,488$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.16	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over	46c	1,358$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.83	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	49c	1,250$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.06	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over	52c	1,112$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.21	319	57.4%183 W · 136 L	+23.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Under	54c	999.99$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	34c	929.04$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.08	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Over	46c	818$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.28	287	53.3%153 W · 134 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under	51c	810.04$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.92	877	50.4%442 W · 435 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Over	46c	650$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	279	52%145 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…dc4dbacked Under	55c	548.81$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.82	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over	49c	533.73$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.55	478	52.3%250 W · 228 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Under	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+4.9wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed Under	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over	47c	462.24$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.25	44	72.7%32 W · 12 L	+7.7wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over	47c	444.22$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.56	562	53.2%299 W · 263 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over	47c	398.93$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.5	473	50.7%240 W · 233 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	46c	356.1$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.89	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Over	46c	355$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.3	267	51.7%138 W · 129 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over	47c	327$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.69	1,299	50.9%661 W · 638 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over	46c	326.08$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	133	44.4%59 W · 74 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	51c	304.94$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.21	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	161	55.9%90 W · 71 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over	46c	279.8$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.71	434	59%256 W · 178 L	+19.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	36c	255$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.25	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over	47c	250.79$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.66	767	52.3%401 W · 366 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over	51c	246$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.97	176	47.2%83 W · 93 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over	46c	217.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Over	47c	216$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.52	315	49.2%155 W · 160 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	473	45.7%216 W · 257 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Over	47c	212$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.64	112	58%65 W · 47 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	45c	210.91$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.91	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	1,168	49%572 W · 596 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac6…db45backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	46c	179.96$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.78	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over	50c	158$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over	46c	151.82$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.84	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	47c	145$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.15	483	39.8%192 W · 291 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	34c	144.18$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.16	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Over	48c	121.35$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.25	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	47c	117.04$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under	54c	112$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Over	46c	108.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+8.1wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	56c	106$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.41	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over	46c	103.03$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.39	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	541	46.8%253 W · 288 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	46c	99.85$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.93	252	48.8%123 W · 129 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	47c	96.6$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.69	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	51c	94.4$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.33	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Over	46c	81.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.49	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over	47c	62$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	882	47.7%421 W · 461 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x292a…5d78backed Under	57c	61.86$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.22per pick	59cpaid	+44%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Over	51c	59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	1,464	63.5%929 W · 535 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Under	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Under	52c	56.6$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.17	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	220	50.5%111 W · 109 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed Over	76c	49.57$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.67	91	29.7%27 W · 64 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under	52c	46.59$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.36	195	55.9%109 W · 86 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	158	41.8%66 W · 92 L	-12.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b05…17f1backed Over	38c	42.09$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over	51c	41.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.37	586	49.5%290 W · 296 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	45c	40.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	81	42%34 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	268	57.1%153 W · 115 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Under	52c	37.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.03	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55fb…188abacked Over	51c	34.41$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b8…4a59backed Over	69c	33.33$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd79a…6d72backed Over	45c	33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe44…5d00backed Under	54c	32.2$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.81	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over	52c	31.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	314	46.8%147 W · 167 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca1…fc25backed Over	54c	30.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under	54c	30.24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	583	52.1%304 W · 279 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ca…22c9backed Over	48c	28.13$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Over	75c	27.68$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	121	28.9%35 W · 86 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e6…b490backed Over	47c	27.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07b4…6855backed Over	57c	26.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	141	49.6%70 W · 71 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over	47c	23.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	309	60.2%186 W · 123 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over	47c	22.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	305	54.4%166 W · 139 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	67c	21.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.3	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x018e…c536backed Over	68c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over	73c	18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	65c	16.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event