Tennis · resolved market
ITF Champaign: Oliver Bonding vs Evan Bynoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x770b8a7d77118d20bebf4a25c57341946aa4692d4e6b5e5f718cf1a20f27004d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evan Bynoeof Oliver Bonding, Evan Bynoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oliver Bonding | 52c | 7,692$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Evan Bynoe | 44c | 3,885$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.36 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Oliver Bonding | 2c | 3,096$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Evan Bynoe | 42c | 1,762$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.38 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Evan Bynoe | 24c | 668.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.81 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Evan Bynoe | 25c | 344$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Evan Bynoe | 64c | 338.26$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Evan Bynoe | 20c | 337.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.51 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Evan Bynoe | 19c | 299.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.41 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Evan Bynoe | 34c | 241.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Evan Bynoe | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oliver Bonding | 64c | 187.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Evan Bynoe | 8c | 180$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Evan Bynoe | 25c | 143.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Evan Bynoe | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Evan Bynoe | 25c | 125.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oliver Bonding | 61c | 111.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Oliver Bonding | 65c | 104.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Evan Bynoe | 25c | 101.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Oliver Bonding | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Oliver Bonding | 67c | 99.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Evan Bynoe | 37c | 99.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Oliver Bonding | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Evan Bynoe | 63c | 87.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Evan Bynoe | 25c | 85.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Evan Bynoe | 25c | 85.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Evan Bynoe | 25c | 83.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Evan Bynoe | 25c | 83.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Oliver Bonding | 77c | 77.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Oliver Bonding | 32c | 56.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Evan Bynoe | 41c | 48.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Evan Bynoe | 26c | 40.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Evan Bynoe | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Evan Bynoe | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Oliver Bonding | 73c | 32.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Oliver Bonding | 68c | 29.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Oliver Bonding | 65c | 27.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Oliver Bonding | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Evan Bynoe | 48c | 20.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Oliver Bonding | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed Oliver Bonding | 75c | 19.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Oliver Bonding | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oliver Bonding | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…ee45backed Oliver Bonding | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Oliver Bonding | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.