Tennis · resolved market
ITF Saskatoon: Anna Frey vs Jia-Jing Lu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d58c232e88681e008c24d0a2aded9c4e57c13fed267553697606e39ef17c3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jia-Jing Luof Anna Frey, Jia-Jing Lu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e37…6789backed Jia-Jing Lu | 69c | 6,222$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 57c | 2,670$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.22 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Anna Frey | 41c | 2,649$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.26 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Anna Frey | 59c | 1,618$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.44 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Frey | 30c | 859.01$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Anna Frey | 40c | 829.05$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.62 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anna Frey | 32c | 505.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anna Frey | 30c | 465.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anna Frey | 21c | 397.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Anna Frey | 54c | 375.93$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Anna Frey | 34c | 335.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 41c | 302.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Anna Frey | 10c | 292.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Anna Frey | 45c | 291.92$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Anna Frey | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Anna Frey | 29c | 229.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Anna Frey | 23c | 221.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Anna Frey | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Anna Frey | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Anna Frey | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anna Frey | 33c | 99.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Anna Frey | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…c014backed Anna Frey | 54c | 89.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Anna Frey | 45c | 74.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Jia-Jing Lu | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Jia-Jing Lu | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…157bbacked Anna Frey | 31c | 73.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Anna Frey | 59c | 72.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Jia-Jing Lu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 76c | 59.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Anna Frey | 28c | 48.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Anna Frey | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…45b4backed Anna Frey | 32c | 38.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Anna Frey | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Anna Frey | 40c | 31.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Anna Frey | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed Anna Frey | 55c | 22.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Jia-Jing Lu | 68c | 21.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Jia-Jing Lu | 69c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 74c | 19.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.