Tennis · resolved market
Palermo: Alice Rame vs Anastasia Tikhonova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2bbab3ab7c6eb5cd8a75f223ceb1779567003fe2aeca01402abf99a1769aa42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alice Rameof Alice Rame, Anastasia Tikhonova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 8c | 23,008$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 33c | 15,112$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.98 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Alice Rame | 71c | 11,216$7,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.26 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 24c | 10,449$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.83 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 3c | 4,119$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 18c | 3,043$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.76 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 30c | 2,506$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.87 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 3c | 2,400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Alice Rame | 61c | 2,000$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.75 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 6c | 1,666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 20c | 1,172$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.23 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alice Rame | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 26c | 961.93$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.72 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alice Rame | 59c | 951.27$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.38 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 5c | 850.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Alice Rame | 79c | 802.71$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 16c | 709.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 24c | 693.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.78 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 23c | 653.84$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Alice Rame | 79c | 631.65$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.14 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 19c | 497.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 25c | 435.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 22c | 410$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 39c | 405.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Alice Rame | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alice Rame | 70c | 353.72$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…ad6abacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…c784backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 22c | 283.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 39c | 265.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 24c | 251.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…54a0backed Alice Rame | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 40c | 248$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad5…a084backed Alice Rame | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alice Rame | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alice Rame | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Alice Rame | 76c | 199.59$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Alice Rame | 76c | 191.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Alice Rame | 76c | 132.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alice Rame | 54c | 130.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 20c | 129.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Alice Rame | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 42c | 118.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…374ebacked Alice Rame | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 55 | 76.4%42 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Alice Rame | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Alice Rame | 75c | 77.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Alice Rame | 78c | 76.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 24c | 73.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Alice Rame | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 28c | 68.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Alice Rame | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 20c | 64.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Alice Rame | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 32c | 45.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alice Rame | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alice Rame | 54c | 34.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Alice Rame | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Alice Rame | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Alice Rame | 76c | 26.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alice Rame | 66c | 24.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Alice Rame | 69c | 23.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Alice Rame | 71c | 22.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…422ebacked Alice Rame | 72c | 20.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Alice Rame | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alice Rame | 75c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Alice Rame | 76c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x189b…5718backed Alice Rame | 79c | 13.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.