Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Nicolas Zanellato vs Nicolas Oliveira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c0444d733306f31c0b2001073b379e5c4cfe2090ece392dab8b9da07e2158cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Zanellatoof Nicolas Zanellato, Nicolas Oliveira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Zanellato | 43c | 5,505$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Oliveira | 70c | 4,578$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.4 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Nicolas Zanellato | 30c | 4,578$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.4 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Nicolas Oliveira | 60c | 1,022$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.57 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nicolas Zanellato | 53c | 879.82$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.29 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…df01backed Nicolas Zanellato | 45c | 297.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Nicolas Oliveira | 56c | 203.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Nicolas Zanellato | 76c | 130.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Oliveira | 47c | 119.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 24c | 109.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 42c | 98.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nicolas Zanellato | 58c | 88.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Nicolas Oliveira | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Nicolas Zanellato | 44c | 62.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Nicolas Oliveira | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Nicolas Oliveira | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Nicolas Oliveira | 44c | 44.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nicolas Oliveira | 42c | 33.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nicolas Zanellato | 44c | 31.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Nicolas Zanellato | 57c | 28.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Nicolas Oliveira | 42c | 28.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…190abacked Nicolas Zanellato | 57c | 25.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 48c | 25.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Nicolas Oliveira | 56c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dd8abacked Nicolas Oliveira | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 52c | 19.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.