Tennis · resolved market
ITF Denia: Anas Mazdrashki vs Carlos Lopez Montagud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d32763a99da6f1e62632dc61b62c474e1382bbcb4cc02a3616823deca58b650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Lopez Montagudof Anas Mazdrashki, Carlos Lopez Montagud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 61c | 6,920$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.25 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anas Mazdrashki | 46c | 5,417$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.52 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anas Mazdrashki | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 21c | 1,160$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.98 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Anas Mazdrashki | 39c | 397.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 31c | 360.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.35 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Anas Mazdrashki | 37c | 310.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Anas Mazdrashki | 75c | 254.92$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 46c | 152.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Anas Mazdrashki | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Anas Mazdrashki | 80c | 125.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Anas Mazdrashki | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Anas Mazdrashki | 66c | 74.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anas Mazdrashki | 35c | 64.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Anas Mazdrashki | 54c | 58.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 48c | 50.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Anas Mazdrashki | 40c | 49.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 48c | 49.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353d…e6bcbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 33c | 48.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Anas Mazdrashki | 74c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Anas Mazdrashki | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 65c | 37.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Anas Mazdrashki | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 65c | 33.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Anas Mazdrashki | 36c | 30.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Anas Mazdrashki | 36c | 30.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Anas Mazdrashki | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Anas Mazdrashki | 74c | 23.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Anas Mazdrashki | 52c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Anas Mazdrashki | 64c | 21.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 66c | 21.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Anas Mazdrashki | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.