Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Amy Stevens vs Himari Sato
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d8c9dffab04bcf1ae552add3f50154a820946388af2e64d59ee04151e13a7a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amy Stevensof Amy Stevens, Himari Sato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Himari Sato | 47c | 6,392$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.23 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Amy Stevens | 53c | 6,322$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Amy Stevens | 39c | 599.98$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.02 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amy Stevens | 44c | 456.1$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.21 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Himari Sato | 56c | 441.29$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.12 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Himari Sato | 60c | 367.96$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.78 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Himari Sato | 45c | 191.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Himari Sato | 48c | 162.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Himari Sato | 62c | 133.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Himari Sato | 64c | 120.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Amy Stevens | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Himari Sato | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Himari Sato | 64c | 96.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Himari Sato | 64c | 93.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Himari Sato | 39c | 70.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Amy Stevens | 61c | 70.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Amy Stevens | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Himari Sato | 62c | 65.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Amy Stevens | 55c | 63.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Amy Stevens | 55c | 63.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Amy Stevens | 55c | 63.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Amy Stevens | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Amy Stevens | 38c | 53.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Amy Stevens | 47c | 50.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amy Stevens | 43c | 39.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Himari Sato | 65c | 38.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Amy Stevens | 36c | 37.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Amy Stevens | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Himari Sato | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Himari Sato | 53c | 28.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Amy Stevens | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…3958backed Himari Sato | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 61cpaid | -79%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.