TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe55a…ecf7backed Under53c19,200$10,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,124.443946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c13,015$5,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,063.2411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under56c11,852$6,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,622.694,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7f…7b8abacked Over47c5,428$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,876.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Over44c5,040$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.428553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c3,783$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.284,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over42c3,221$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.182,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under58c3,221$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.1871650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7101,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c2,804$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.681,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c2,445$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.256,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c2,048$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.442,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over45c1,950$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.251,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over46c1,631$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.042,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c1,529$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.3468053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over46c1,245$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5429147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed Over45c1,212$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.154057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6606855.9%38 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.362,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under52c950.65$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.0836048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over48c869.85$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.0347350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under49c765.6$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.1441346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6849158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over69c698$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.098,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over46c592.68$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.895252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under19c591.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9919934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under54c428.98$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6537052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.911,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over44c332.8$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.161,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over47c276$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2854642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over47c228$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.143,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over49c224.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.53,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over46c211.67$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.311041.8%46 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c206.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.978,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c201.84$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.975,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11232850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over43c187.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0645748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under54c185.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009855.1%54 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over45c173$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.41,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over43c170.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0173849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over46c164.83$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0114750.3%74 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c137$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.132,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over44c135$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.645045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Over45c126.54$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.63548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x003b…1ebebacked Under54c110.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.940%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5499447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under57c99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.432,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Over47c82.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.988754%47 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over72c82.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over51c76.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4631258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf194…b52dbacked Under56c73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.912035%7 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over78c71.54$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.393,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over48c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.552,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Over47c61.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8121152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7a…ebe3backed Over45c56.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.046640.9%27 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over46c54.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.591,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Under57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016251.9%84 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over42c52.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3542448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55054%27 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked Over46c49.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under31c48.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1847345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4868942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c42.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.572,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.556048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over51c42.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7334255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Over43c36.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7424843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed Over43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.130928.5%88 W · 221 L-46.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.416546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked Over75c27.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.918051.3%41 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Over46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.047243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Over47c24.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8617255.8%96 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Over47c22.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8520654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Over51c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.367258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under58c20.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4954…ac42backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.