TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Cubsof Detroit Tigers, Chicago Cubs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd47d…322bbacked Chicago Cubs52c10,291$5,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,939.913552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Detroit Tigers0c6,379$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.598762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed Detroit Tigers26c6,158$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.0223146.8%108 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Chicago Cubs53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.3816747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers8c5,629$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.3311,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Detroit Tigers47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9744945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers48c2,668$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.435,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Chicago Cubs57c2,662$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.9116053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Detroit Tigers5c2,644$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5160043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers48c2,640$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.383,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Chicago Cubs73c1,557$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.4131958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Chicago Cubs53c1,414$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.5219453.6%104 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers6c1,165$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Detroit Tigers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48024639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Detroit Tigers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Chicago Cubs53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.45855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Detroit Tigers6c750$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3561346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Chicago Cubs67c621.84$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1915751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Detroit Tigers47c605.36$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.521,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Detroit Tigers48c550$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs52c509.2$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4286548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Detroit Tigers48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e68…3772backed Detroit Tigers3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7924947%117 W · 132 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b3…27d8backed Detroit Tigers3c499.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13387.9%3 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-79.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Detroit Tigers4c468.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.351,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Detroit Tigers18c466.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb05…4e1bbacked Chicago Cubs73c453.3$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Chicago Cubs52c439.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.217348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd23e…e4a3backed Detroit Tigers48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011750.4%59 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Detroit Tigers48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Detroit Tigers47c377.98$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.972,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Chicago Cubs53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3614953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Detroit Tigers36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers47c234.06$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Detroit Tigers11c227.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.132,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Detroit Tigers48c224.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.993548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Detroit Tigers48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.839846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Detroit Tigers47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.71,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9be…08bebacked Detroit Tigers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007749.4%38 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed Detroit Tigers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014452.8%76 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Detroit Tigers47c195.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.661,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Chicago Cubs53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6821853.2%116 W · 102 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Detroit Tigers47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs64c161.4$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Detroit Tigers48c149$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5242550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…2979backed Detroit Tigers48c146.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd72d…0dbbbacked Detroit Tigers48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011855.9%66 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Detroit Tigers14c145.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Detroit Tigers49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011354%61 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Detroit Tigers49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers48c140.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.956,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9b…be5fbacked Detroit Tigers48c131.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc988…4d2cbacked Detroit Tigers48c125.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc86c…9eabbacked Chicago Cubs53c122.43$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Detroit Tigers17c120.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4336759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf3…4807backed Detroit Tigers25c118.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5e…39d5backed Chicago Cubs53c116.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.844100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers15c114.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.674,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Detroit Tigers48c112.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0451547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41c…03a5backed Chicago Cubs53c110.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.87450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Detroit Tigers47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.71,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Detroit Tigers47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.71,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Detroit Tigers47c106$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8254642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Detroit Tigers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick53cpaid-52.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe88c…55d1backed Detroit Tigers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508852.3%46 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Detroit Tigers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Detroit Tigers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4716648.8%81 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Chicago Cubs62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386254.8%34 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Detroit Tigers48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9984651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Chicago Cubs52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Chicago Cubs53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3473143.4%317 W · 414 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a4…d44cbacked Chicago Cubs53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.345867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Detroit Tigers47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.31,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Detroit Tigers48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4066551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8887…c2abbacked Detroit Tigers48c68.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3318250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Detroit Tigers31c66.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Detroit Tigers48c66.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3294549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked Detroit Tigers47c64.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3618848.9%92 W · 96 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Detroit Tigers49c63.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319146.2%42 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Chicago Cubs74c63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.389165.9%60 W · 31 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Detroit Tigers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,16749%572 W · 595 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Detroit Tigers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc085…c837backed Detroit Tigers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Chicago Cubs73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7949762.2%309 W · 188 L+38.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91c7…fc89backed Chicago Cubs53c54.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Detroit Tigers40c50.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.961,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chicago Cubs73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.558746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Detroit Tigers47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.524246.7%113 W · 129 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Detroit Tigers47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.545445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc0…7bf6backed Chicago Cubs53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.520548.8%100 W · 105 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Detroit Tigers46c48.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e0…c8bbbacked Chicago Cubs54c46.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…7398backed Detroit Tigers47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.865542.4%278 W · 377 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Chicago Cubs53c35.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8580855.3%447 W · 361 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Chicago Cubs76c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.456371.4%45 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1690…4bf8backed Chicago Cubs53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.962441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3522…31a8backed Detroit Tigers48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516962.7%106 W · 63 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Detroit Tigers48c28.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7613345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381f…3f98backed Chicago Cubs50c24.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.