TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Winnipeg: Hayato Matsuoka vs Daniel Milavsky

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hayato Matsuokaof Hayato Matsuoka, Daniel Milavsky
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54ba…04e4backed Daniel Milavsky8c11,145$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.1171329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Daniel Milavsky26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9810358.3%60 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Milavsky34c4,281$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.118,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef53…4591backed Daniel Milavsky47c4,186$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.517543.4%76 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Hayato Matsuoka73c3,756$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.966,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a3…9b39backed Hayato Matsuoka59c3,414$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.7111554.8%63 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Daniel Milavsky24c2,929$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.3747328.3%134 W · 339 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Hayato Matsuoka74c2,879$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.964,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Hayato Matsuoka68c2,598$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.052,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Daniel Milavsky45c1,753$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.131,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hayato Matsuoka69c1,718$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.684,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xac4f…2c7bbacked Daniel Milavsky25c1,526$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.822227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Hayato Matsuoka74c1,155$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.336260.5%219 W · 143 L+27.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hayato Matsuoka64c999.61$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.089,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Hayato Matsuoka66c968.97$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.632,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Daniel Milavsky35c829.91$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.156,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Milavsky8c728.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.58,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Hayato Matsuoka64c669.61$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.382,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab70…774cbacked Hayato Matsuoka73c592.01$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8416957.4%97 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Daniel Milavsky19c519.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10111218.8%21 W · 91 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d23…9517backed Hayato Matsuoka56c486.94$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.155261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Daniel Milavsky21c486.37$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3688935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Milavsky26c477.53$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.926,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Hayato Matsuoka74c405$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.31,10145.1%497 W · 604 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Hayato Matsuoka64c400$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Daniel Milavsky26c388.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Hayato Matsuoka74c298.99$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.45,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Daniel Milavsky4c286$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.441,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Daniel Milavsky28c267.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1538422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Hayato Matsuoka74c255$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.322951.1%117 W · 112 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Hayato Matsuoka74c253$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7834854%188 W · 160 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Hayato Matsuoka74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6549957.5%287 W · 212 L+29.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Daniel Milavsky51c249.9$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.22,40451.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Hayato Matsuoka78c248.5$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0476355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Hayato Matsuoka74c233$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5827551.3%141 W · 134 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Hayato Matsuoka74c231$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0632754.4%178 W · 149 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Hayato Matsuoka74c226$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7627852.5%146 W · 132 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Hayato Matsuoka67c214.01$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.831,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Hayato Matsuoka74c209$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3435153.8%189 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Daniel Milavsky34c205.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.112,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Hayato Matsuoka56c203.57$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.572,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Daniel Milavsky37c201.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.191,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Daniel Milavsky35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Hayato Matsuoka74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5241554.7%227 W · 188 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Hayato Matsuoka55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9044051.6%227 W · 213 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Daniel Milavsky27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Hayato Matsuoka74c197$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2251757.4%297 W · 220 L+31.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Hayato Matsuoka74c195.95$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.951,07360.4%648 W · 425 L+24.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Hayato Matsuoka74c192$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9243352.9%229 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Hayato Matsuoka74c183$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5846251.7%239 W · 223 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Hayato Matsuoka74c182$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3228652.8%151 W · 135 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Daniel Milavsky46c181.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.730246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Daniel Milavsky58c180.34$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.647252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Hayato Matsuoka47c178.84$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.781,53442.4%651 W · 883 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Hayato Matsuoka75c178.57$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6469947.8%334 W · 365 L-3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Hayato Matsuoka40c167.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0690152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Daniel Milavsky9c165.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.153,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Hayato Matsuoka76c165.14$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.954,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…3ad7backed Hayato Matsuoka60c148.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.49644.8%43 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Hayato Matsuoka61c146.83$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8314036.4%51 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hayato Matsuoka61c141$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.424,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Hayato Matsuoka72c139.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1617972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Hayato Matsuoka72c135.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.426,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Hayato Matsuoka69c115.15$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.23,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Daniel Milavsky28c112$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.361,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Daniel Milavsky39c105$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161,80640.9%739 W · 1,067 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Hayato Matsuoka63c104.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hayato Matsuoka63c96.83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.836,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Hayato Matsuoka67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.445,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Hayato Matsuoka62c79.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0318968.8%130 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Hayato Matsuoka72c72.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.192,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Hayato Matsuoka67c68.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8127363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Hayato Matsuoka74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5791255.9%510 W · 402 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Hayato Matsuoka74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5787054.6%475 W · 395 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Hayato Matsuoka74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5793055.9%520 W · 410 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Hayato Matsuoka74c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.421,80258.9%1,062 W · 740 L+5.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Hayato Matsuoka75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6794149.5%466 W · 475 L+17.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Daniel Milavsky29c62.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1828734.8%100 W · 187 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Hayato Matsuoka56c58.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9365434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Hayato Matsuoka42c54.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.836349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Daniel Milavsky57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,05659.5%1,224 W · 832 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Hayato Matsuoka61c52.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.391,07956.3%608 W · 471 L+50.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Hayato Matsuoka38c49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.384,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Hayato Matsuoka42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.625,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e3…7982backed Hayato Matsuoka55c43.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.779622.9%22 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Hayato Matsuoka69c42.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3178957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hayato Matsuoka42c41.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0411,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Hayato Matsuoka74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5491354.9%501 W · 412 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Hayato Matsuoka74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5438051.6%196 W · 184 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Hayato Matsuoka63c39.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6321554%116 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Hayato Matsuoka76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.472,00453.2%1,067 W · 937 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Hayato Matsuoka40c39.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3833048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x835c…c014backed Daniel Milavsky41c39.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.846041.7%25 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Hayato Matsuoka80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52080%16 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Hayato Matsuoka43c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0931347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Hayato Matsuoka41c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0460341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Hayato Matsuoka65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7718343.7%80 W · 103 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Hayato Matsuoka63c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9942151.1%215 W · 206 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked Daniel Milavsky62c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.077661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x546a…1988backed Hayato Matsuoka64c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.799138.5%35 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.