Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Francisco Fontes Damorim vs Carlos Maria Zarate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b6d83bd4cc9cf07b2bf4301b0a338f7b9386581c706ef38ea18642b6a63daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Maria Zarateof Francisco Fontes Damorim, Carlos Maria Zarate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 13c | 3,895$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.46 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 14c | 3,854$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.92 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 14c | 2,549$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francisco Fontes Damorim | 13c | 1,931$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Francisco Fontes Damorim | 14c | 1,334$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 12c | 851.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 74c | 741.97$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Francisco Fontes Damorim | 19c | 628.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 12c | 456.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Francisco Fontes Damorim | 21c | 347.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 55c | 291.52$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 12c | 265$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 29c | 261.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 24c | 198.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Francisco Fontes Damorim | 25c | 182.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 26c | 176.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Francisco Fontes Damorim | 26c | 175.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 58c | 74.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 69c | 29.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 70c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 55c | 18.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.