Champions League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2050d7e64d163349b602b942db408d023e921daa181e84bbc7ec9fe8e200903d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 14,696$8,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.75 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 2,268$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.78 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 3c | 1,448$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 2c | 1,440$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 1,417$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 37c | 1,238$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.93 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 1,218$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.17 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 1,218$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.22 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 38c | 1,156$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.38 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 42c | 1,128$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 8c | 1,114$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 2c | 1,025$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…8905backed No | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 44c | 913$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 65c | 865.4$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 2c | 840$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 839.81$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.25 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ab…d5a7backed No | 2c | 798.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 21c | 765.66$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 714.37$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.32 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 43c | 697.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 80c | 564.09$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 33c | 514.03$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 42c | 508.1$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 24c | 439.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 382.46$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…f843backed Yes | 56c | 361.39$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 44c | 276$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 45c | 271.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 240.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 56c | 232$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 219.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 12c | 194.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 78c | 183.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 12c | 169.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 42c | 141.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…96b7backed No | 42c | 107.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 22c | 106.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 11c | 104.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 70c | 99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 21c | 83.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 74c | 74.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 79c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 16c | 68.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 37c | 53.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 48c | 52.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 56c | 49.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 62c | 45.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 42c | 42.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No | 43c | 34.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 52c | 29.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 52c | 22.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Yes | 79c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-28?this page
- Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-07-28?No won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.