Champions League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a956fb9cde2e48e8cb091f511f4a64fbaf84b5478623c54d810b52ba2688b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 1,619$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.68 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 968$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.14 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 944.96$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.11 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Yes | 23c | 860.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 816.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 750$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 22c | 412.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 385$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 279.87$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 27c | 265$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 78c | 255.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 231.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 21c | 144.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 15c | 113.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 15c | 92.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 15c | 87.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 15c | 87.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 14c | 78.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 23c | 52.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 24c | 47.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?this page
- Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-07-28?No won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.