TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Under54c26,138$14,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,018.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over45c10,934$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,035.8814727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over47c6,384$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.524047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under55c5,402$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.287950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over30c4,800$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,361.1375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over47c4,041$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.5220053%106 W · 94 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,195$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.691,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under53c2,037$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-51.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over38c1,913$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.6619447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe988…8343backed Over47c1,876$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.26875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over22c1,790$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.776735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over19c1,760$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.711,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf45…401fbacked Under15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+130.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c1,597$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.851,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b3…b35cbacked Under15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Under15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c1,133$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.015,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.051,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.052,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under71c1,053$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.062,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107022.9%16 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+288.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106923.2%16 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over46c805.27$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.321,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c777.82$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.151,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over45c687.86$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.572665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c660.36$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.788,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under68c462.71$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over32c447.82$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5464633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9bc…d6d1backed Under11c427.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over46c386.88$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.924753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over47c369.45$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.813360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under74c366.7$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4955250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under16c364.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8918426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under53c335.85$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c320$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.618151.4%93 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over48c240$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12625345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over48c228.57$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.72969%20 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+112.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over26c193.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8246449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under48c188.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x935e…9132backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over45c185.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+85.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over47c162$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.162,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over46c159.15$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.183759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over47c159$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.276243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.541654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.818247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over45c119.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1840651%207 W · 199 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over45c105.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7678856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c101.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.92,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7986…901bbacked Over42c83.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under55c79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4510766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over46c71.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.815625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over47c70.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2926965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over29c68.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4253836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under59c67.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6763261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Over47c63.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.941631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501883.3%15 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over30c60.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2915552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over44c58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4819437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe772…10aabacked Over19c56.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+436.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Over45c53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.154858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under51c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5219150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over46c50.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1610751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over32c49.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3425147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under50c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.515143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Over46c44.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.013256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under76c43.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.915364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under53c43.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under52c41.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6611338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over51c39.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.092867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under77c37.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1626465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e2…af02backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-72%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4422058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…63e7backed Under53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1121359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.914149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0514643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over45c29.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9714359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c27.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.911,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Under74c27.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204358.1%25 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over47c25.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.289350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Under55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.752045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over45c23.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8416864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under67c23.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5769453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under61c22.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8933365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over47c21.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6933658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5953…192fbacked Under68c20.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under55c18.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.263342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under74c14.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.776168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0b…275abacked Under80c13.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under80c12.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.026078.3%47 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick80cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.