South American Leagues · resolved market
SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8099e87ca49fd31660ac89d8f6db3be7059055d9f47f36338d26a699cdfbfca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,526$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,372$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.76 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 649.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.72 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 47c | 546.18$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.85 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 381.74$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.46 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 50c | 345.04$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 51c | 341.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 53c | 240$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 54c | 187.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 88.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 57c | 85.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…e39dbacked Yes | 53c | 54.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 50.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 48c | 49.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed No | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2688backed Yes | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 51c | 40.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Yes | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 50c | 36.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 28.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 45c | 28.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 58c | 25.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 47c | 25.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 48c | 23.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: CA Mineiro O/U 0.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.