South American Leagues · resolved market
SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e4c62eb1d77fa6d0584fc7736ce03f8b1a62fc4bee8a1bd41aead031a453f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc32…92d2backed Over | 71c | 36,972$26,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,738.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 29c | 28,572$8,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,285.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 13,242$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 2c | 5,320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 3,129$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 39c | 2,285$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over | 72c | 1,912$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 1,787$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.91 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 72c | 1,404$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.1 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 63c | 1,289$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.75 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,138$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 31c | 1,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.9 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 29c | 688.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 40c | 681.31$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.69 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 40c | 644.36$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.36 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 47c | 623.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.66 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 61c | 594.15$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.16 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 30c | 509.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 44c | 491.85$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.29 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 41c | 491.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 28c | 491.26$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 430.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Over | 39c | 415.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 373.64$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.13 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 60c | 373.36$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +11.1wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 368.22$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 58c | 311$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 36c | 307.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 47c | 296.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…59b3backed Under | 40c | 238.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 39c | 236.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 21c | 215.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 49c | 199.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 198$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 37c | 191.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 177.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Under | 29c | 159.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 128$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 58c | 109.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 36c | 69.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 43c | 61.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 39c | 40.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 63c | 39.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 72c | 28.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…71d4backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 56c | 24.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 56c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 58c | 19.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5this page
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: CA Mineiro O/U 0.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.