Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC København (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c5f749d8b74bd012f4ceb2370323cbaa76c4786b78a7db87ef142d7ece79b63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Polissiaof FC København, FK Polissia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FK Polissia | 66c | 1,616$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.82 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC København | 31c | 1,514$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed FC København | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC København | 35c | 855.75$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.92 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Polissia | 67c | 746$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC København | 23c | 326.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Polissia | 72c | 310.3$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed FC København | 33c | 157.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed FC København | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed FC København | 38c | 81.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked FK Polissia | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed FC København | 39c | 59.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FK Polissia | 66c | 59.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed FC København | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed FC København | 60c | 49.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC København | 34c | 47.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed FC København | 38c | 37.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC København | 38c | 37.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FK Polissia | 67c | 32.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed FC København | 39c | 29.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FC København | 38c | 28.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FC København | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a2…a335backed FK Polissia | 66c | 25.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed FK Polissia | 66c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)this page
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FC København O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FC København O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FK Polissia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FK Polissia O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: Team to AdvanceFC København won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FK Polissia won
- Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: FK Polissia (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.