Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x188815f53ad0785f18e2f3dca8c96577a91c41c79e0fc6520fe6efc4833604a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 26c | 17,390$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600.83 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 11,643$8,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.53 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 8,183$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.88 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 21c | 4,829$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.04 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 34c | 2,360$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.45 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 2,138$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.2 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 1,019$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.48 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 732.5$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.05 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 74c | 610.96$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 74c | 581.18$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 456.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 418.56$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 74c | 417.92$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.35 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 75c | 376$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 60c | 356.67$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 76c | 328.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 41c | 317.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 79c | 308.8$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 74c | 289.33$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…90b5backed Over | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 41c | 127.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 75c | 119.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 103.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 40c | 95.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…ed4ebacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 74c | 81.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 74c | 80.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 75c | 80.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 16c | 79.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 74.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 40c | 64.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 41c | 60.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 76c | 46.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 22c | 46.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2c26backed Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +89%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 76c | 35.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 73c | 28.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 76c | 28.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 69c | 25.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 3.5this page
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FC København O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FC København O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FK Polissia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FK Polissia O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: Team to AdvanceFC København won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FK Polissia won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FK Polissia won
- Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: FK Polissia (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.