Premier League · resolved market
Cheltenham Town FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd873cfd104fe592e9e3d9bba0f7fa1de552424e144c511f9d0ea3f4f3f9e29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 72c | 577.66$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 442.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 440$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…0934backed Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 78c | 185.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 25c | 130.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 92.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 24c | 61.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 75c | 60.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 75c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 63c | 21.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5)Cheltenham Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.