Europa Conference League · resolved market
Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12668c67be6657647a3909f89aafe0453b6cb24d4d38ca03d811baf108ac4d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 4,768$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.35 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 31c | 1,840$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.58 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 64c | 1,694$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.77 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 1,674$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.51 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 4c | 1,060$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 39c | 526.01$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 78c | 470$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 447.61$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.75 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 53c | 370.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.47 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 327.59$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.28 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 297.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 49c | 282.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 53c | 249.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 54c | 196.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 46c | 177$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Under | 11c | 138.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 53c | 110.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 105.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Over | 79c | 93.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 48c | 83.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 43c | 74.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 52c | 66.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 33c | 53.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…c28bbacked Under | 40c | 51.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 71c | 50.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 21c | 49.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 54c | 41.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 29c | 40.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 65c | 33.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 41c | 31.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 52c | 31.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 30.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 54c | 28.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…84bcbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Helsingin JK (-1.5)Motherwell FC won
- Spread: Motherwell FC (-2.5)Helsingin JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.