Europa Conference League · resolved market
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f68223de51bedce1dabbd497ae072f85ce32b65f1522e5a25f9db452234b4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd682…2c16backed Under | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +187.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 2,205$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.44 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,197$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 31c | 887.78$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.96 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.13 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 23c | 425.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 15c | 99.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 31c | 62.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 30c | 61.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 30c | 61.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 32c | 46.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 27c | 45.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 67c | 42.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Over | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5this page
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to AdvanceKF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.