Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e386cd11290dbb7c0172fbbc5e4b63b8c83fab265f0694d89c1fe4a5b8c33e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shamrock Rovers FCof Shamrock Rovers FC, KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 29c | 6,415$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.44 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 70c | 3,738$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 74c | 1,542$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.08 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 70c | 790.7$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 32c | 580.03$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.02 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 27c | 327.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.85 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 40c | 301$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 73c | 251$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 70c | 209.06$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 70c | 208.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 76c | 181.34$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 67c | 162.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 45c | 110.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 74c | 102.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 77c | 100.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 72c | 87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 28c | 87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 66c | 56.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 69c | 47.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 70c | 45.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 58c | 44.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 29c | 42.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 67c | 38.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 71c | 36.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 72c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 68c | 19.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)this page
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to AdvanceKF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)Shamrock Rovers FC won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.