Europa Conference League · resolved market
KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb538e8db46575e59b852c4b9c8a0979573277de5f23300eeb1cdb6babf816684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KAA Gentof KAA Gent, FK LNZ Cherkasy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9212…4040backed KAA Gent | 71c | 669.23$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.13 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…3249backed FK LNZ Cherkasy | 18c | 547$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FK LNZ Cherkasy | 25c | 484.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed KAA Gent | 76c | 428.67$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed FK LNZ Cherkasy | 27c | 266.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked KAA Gent | 75c | 265$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed FK LNZ Cherkasy | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +198.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed KAA Gent | 60c | 164.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked FK LNZ Cherkasy | 16c | 146.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed KAA Gent | 58c | 120.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked KAA Gent | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed FK LNZ Cherkasy | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FK LNZ Cherkasy | 40c | 108.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked KAA Gent | 40c | 100.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed KAA Gent | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FK LNZ Cherkasy | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FK LNZ Cherkasy | 36c | 77.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed KAA Gent | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked KAA Gent | 59c | 53.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KAA Gent | 75c | 46.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…700bbacked KAA Gent | 78c | 46.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…bfd1backed FK LNZ Cherkasy | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…f63ebacked KAA Gent | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed FK LNZ Cherkasy | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked KAA Gent | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…f0a3backed KAA Gent | 75c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: Team to Advancethis page
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 0.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 1.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 2.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 3.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 4.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)FK LNZ Cherkasy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.