Europa Conference League · resolved market
KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05f26cdcdd77838fb74427677a63b247f31c16486dff24e546f685ff9d00fa11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 28c | 10,262$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.77 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 5,660$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.56 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 2,953$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.33 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 582.37$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 50c | 450$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 250.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 230.49$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 216.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 211.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 54c | 159.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 74c | 143.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 75c | 91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 80c | 81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Under | 67c | 73.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 18c | 73.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 79c | 49.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a2…a335backed Under | 57c | 44.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 53c | 41.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Over | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 28.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 54c | 24.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Over | 49c | 22.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 22.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 49c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 20.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 67c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 2.5this page
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 0.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 1.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 3.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 4.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: O/U 5.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: Team to AdvanceKAA Gent won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)FK LNZ Cherkasy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.