Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8392d8cba06ce69b15f345596f6fee83fa0349dff113e11256b89e1dbbf4f4f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NSÍ Runavíkof FC Koper, NSÍ Runavík
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b46…8438backed NSÍ Runavík | 21c | 1,416$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NSÍ Runavík | 13c | 977.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.05 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed FC Koper | 64c | 780.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked NSÍ Runavík | 43c | 682.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Koper | 62c | 559.23$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.72 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked NSÍ Runavík | 44c | 340.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed FC Koper | 37c | 319.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed FC Koper | 64c | 300$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed NSÍ Runavík | 38c | 118.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed NSÍ Runavík | 10c | 117.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed FC Koper | 65c | 115.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed NSÍ Runavík | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed FC Koper | 61c | 81.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked NSÍ Runavík | 49c | 70.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed NSÍ Runavík | 29c | 53.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed NSÍ Runavík | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2c26backed NSÍ Runavík | 30c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +89%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked FC Koper | 56c | 34.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: Team to Advancethis page
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: NSÍ Runavík O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: NSÍ Runavík O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Koper (-1.5)NSÍ Runavík won
- Spread: FC Koper (-2.5)NSÍ Runavík won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.