Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648c80817d9668cf4c0f4162a4b3e92e73887cbbd84bea3f23a162ed8f3c7822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 49c | 4,991$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.29 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 4,134$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 41c | 1,230$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 943.22$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.06 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 828.72$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.08 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 583.95$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.63 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 61c | 491.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 271.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 269$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 80c | 228.65$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Under | 70c | 214.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 154.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 74c | 99.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 50c | 97.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 74c | 86.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 43c | 82.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 74.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 36c | 74.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 55c | 62.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 45c | 53.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 58c | 44.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 49c | 42.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under | 54c | 38.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 42c | 31.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…baf9backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 43c | 27.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…c7a2backed Over | 71c | 20.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: NSÍ Runavík O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: NSÍ Runavík O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: Team to AdvanceNSÍ Runavík won
- Spread: FC Koper (-1.5)NSÍ Runavík won
- Spread: FC Koper (-2.5)NSÍ Runavík won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.