WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf76d868811b390e8a72a03ae43231425b32df250db1cdba45669f2e060e676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 4,377$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.74 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 3,499$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.38 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 2,761$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.53 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 2,188$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.93 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 1,796$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.28 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 79c | 930.44$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.01 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 899.99$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.99 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…159fbacked Under | 53c | 817.74$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 720.7$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.97 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 664.58$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.26 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 69c | 370.94$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 68c | 346.2$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 30c | 333.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 313.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 289.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 72c | 236$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…ff1dbacked Under | 54c | 198.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Under | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 177$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 137.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 113.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 29c | 98.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 19c | 73.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 66c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 66c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 69c | 67.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 75c | 53.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 26c | 47.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Under | 54c | 46.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 42.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 42.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 47c | 42.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 27c | 39.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 74c | 36.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 47c | 34.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 75c | 33.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 77c | 28.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 49c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 51c | 22.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 52c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 67c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 186.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 188.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.