WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2897372c1e1aadfcc6c8b781b3a026f1d856605d00fa63d3a35440b508d24401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Connecticut Sun, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd8e…15d8backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 15,170$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Connecticut Sun | 20c | 9,347$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.4 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…84e6backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 8,513$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.33 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Connecticut Sun | 0c | 6,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…dda8backed Indiana Fever | 80c | 6,275$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Connecticut Sun | 1c | 5,592$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever | 80c | 2,994$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.71 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Connecticut Sun | 1c | 2,275$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 2,205$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.48 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Connecticut Sun | 5c | 1,175$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Connecticut Sun | 2c | 789.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +213.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 555$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…22a4backed Connecticut Sun | 6c | 385.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 382.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 299.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Connecticut Sun | 5c | 283.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Indiana Fever | 80c | 278.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 269.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 260.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Connecticut Sun | 16c | 256$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 245$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 166.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Connecticut Sun | 19c | 137.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Connecticut Sun | 21c | 132.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…b34fbacked Connecticut Sun | 13c | 132$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 110.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Connecticut Sun | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7d…0fa8backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 68.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Connecticut Sun | 17c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Connecticut Sun | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Indiana Fever | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff5…655bbacked Connecticut Sun | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x043e…faa7backed Indiana Fever | 80c | 26.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 12.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Feverthis page
- Brittney Griner: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.