WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99d8dbda679289af6bd318947591915c389a49ff3e0fef2d447a374704622b12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 52c | 12,707$6,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.64 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…3735backed Over | 51c | 9,561$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 8,708$4,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.93 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Under | 51c | 6,165$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.27 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 53c | 3,002$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.94 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 2,699$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.42 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 2,108$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.8 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 1,257$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.79 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 1,042$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.56 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 62c | 823.24$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.83 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 52c | 775.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 681.89$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.94 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 50c | 598.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.56 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 528.35$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 47c | 504.47$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.34 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 476.91$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 474.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Under | 49c | 376.76$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 50c | 348$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 324.52$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 281$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 54c | 214.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 47c | 177.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 150.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 47c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 49c | 131$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 122.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 49c | 116.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 144 | 45.1%65 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…95dcbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Over | 52c | 94.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 92.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Under | 48c | 76.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 67.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 49c | 60.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 50c | 59.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 53.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 50c | 43.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 40.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…9446backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5this page
- Brittney Griner: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.